Rocket BoysHow High Did It Go?

How Good Is the Estimate?

A one-degree slip in the angle changes the height by an amount that grows fast at steep angles. Choosing the baseline well keeps the error small.

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From the story. The boys' theodolites were homemade, so every angle they read came with some uncertainty. A good scientist reports how far off the answer might be, not just the answer. (More in October Sky.)

Suppose the angle could be off by $\pm 2^\circ$. The true height is somewhere between $b\tan(\theta - 2^\circ)$ and $b\tan(\theta + 2^\circ)$. Because the tangent climbs steeply near $90^\circ$, the same $2^\circ$ slip matters much more at steep angles.

Key idea

Height range: $b\tan(\theta - \Delta\theta) \le h \le b\tan(\theta + \Delta\theta)$. With calculus, $dh = b\sec^2\theta\,d\theta$ ($d\theta$ in radians), so the relative error $\dfrac{dh}{h} = \dfrac{d\theta}{\sin\theta\cos\theta}$ is smallest at $\theta = 45^\circ$. Two or three trackers in different directions, averaged, cancel some of the error from a rocket that drifted.
The gold wedge is $\pm 2^\circ$. Watch the red band of possible heights stretch as the angle climbs.

Worked example: How sure?

A tracker $100\ \text{m}$ away reads $70^\circ \pm 2^\circ$. Give the range of heights.
  1. $100\tan 68^\circ \approx 248\ \text{m}$; $100\tan 72^\circ \approx 308\ \text{m}$.
  2. So $h$ is between about $248$ and $308\ \text{m}$, a spread of $60\ \text{m}$. At $45^\circ \pm 2^\circ$ the spread would be only about $14\ \text{m}$.

Answer: $248$ to $308\ \text{m}$

Common mistake

Assuming a fixed angle error gives a fixed height error. It depends strongly on the angle.

Practice

Pass with 3 right answers, the last 2 in a row. Each right answer earns 3 XP.

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Builds on

Leads to

This is one of the top rungs of Rocket Boys Math and Physics.

Sources and further reading

@teddyrookbook GitHub Sources and credits