Does the universe expand forever? The equation that answers it was found by Alexander Friedmann in 1922 from general relativity, but its heart can be derived with nothing more than orbital energy. It links the expansion rate to the density of the universe.
💡 Why it works
Picture a sphere of radius $R = ar$ cut out of a uniform universe of density $\rho$. By the shell theorem, a galaxy on its surface feels only the mass inside, $M = \tfrac43\pi R^3\rho$. Its energy per unit mass is constant: $$\tfrac12\dot R^2 - \frac{GM}{R} = \text{const}.$$ Divide by $\tfrac12R^2$ and use $H = \dot R/R = \dot a/a$: $$H^2 = \frac{8\pi G}{3}\rho - \frac{kc^2}{a^2},$$ where the constant has been written as $-kc^2/a^2$. General relativity gives the same equation and says what $k$ means: the curvature of space. The universe is flat ($k = 0$) when $\rho$ equals the critical density $\rho_c = 3H^2/(8\pi G)$.
🔑 Key idea
The Friedmann equation $H^2 = \tfrac{8\pi G}{3}\rho - kc^2/a^2$. With $\Omega = \rho/\rho_c$: $\Omega > 1$ means positive curvature, $\Omega < 1$ negative, $\Omega = 1$ flat. Measurements (Planck satellite and others) find $\Omega$ equal to 1 within about 0.2%: about 31% matter and 69% dark energy.
The scale factor over time for different mixes of matter and dark energy.
With matter alone, $\Omega < 1$ means faster than escape speed.
Answer: $v/v_{\text{esc}} = 1/\sqrt{\Omega}$: a matter-only universe with $\Omega < 1$ expands forever, and one with $\Omega > 1$ recollapses. Dark energy changes this story (next topic).
⚠️ Common mistake
Thinking a "flat universe" is shaped like a pancake. Flat describes the geometry of space everywhere, in three dimensions: parallel lines stay parallel and the angles of a giant triangle add to 180°. A closed universe ($k > 0$) is like the surface of a sphere, with triangles adding to more than 180°; an open one like a saddle. None of them has an edge. Astronomers test it with triangles billions of light-years across, using the size of hot spots in the microwave background.
Practice
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