Informal LogicFallacies of Presumption and Weak Induction

Slippery Slope

A slippery slope claims one step will set off a chain of bad results, without good reason to think each link will happen.

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A false cause claims one weak causal link. A slippery slope claims a whole chain of them.

Key idea

A slippery slope argues that one step will set off a chain of events ending in disaster, without good reason to think each link in the chain will happen.

Why it works

A chain is only as strong as its weakest link, and the chances multiply: if each of four links is only somewhat likely, the whole chain is unlikely. Presenting the end as certain hides how weak the links are.
A chain of unsupported links.

Worked example: Test each link

"If you skip one homework assignment, you'll fall behind, then fail the class, then never get into college."
  1. Does one missed assignment usually mean falling behind? Not usually.
  2. Does falling a bit behind mean failing? No.
  3. The links are weak, and the end is presented as certain.

Answer: Slippery slope.

Worked example: A supported chain

"If you leave the milk out all day, it will warm up. Bacteria grow faster in warm milk. So the milk will likely spoil."
  1. Does warm milk follow from leaving it out? Yes.
  2. Do bacteria grow faster when it is warm, and does that spoil milk? Yes: each link is a well-known fact.

Answer: Good reasoning, not a fallacy.

Common mistake

Calling every chain of consequences a slippery slope. Some chains are well supported. The fallacy is a chain of weak or unsupported links presented as though the end were certain. Check each link on its own.

Practice

Pass with 3 right answers, the last 2 in a row. Each right answer earns 2 XP.

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Sources and further reading

  • OpenStax Introduction to Philosophy, 5.5 Informal Fallacies
  • Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "Fallacies"
  • Patrick Hurley, A Concise Introduction to Logic, chapter 3 (fallacies of weak induction and presumption)
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