Int. MicroWork, Time and Risk

Saving and Borrowing over Time

The budget c₁ + c₂/(1 + r) = m₁ + m₂/(1 + r) shows when it pays to save and when to borrow.

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Saving and borrowing are choices between consumption now and consumption later. The budget comes from Present Value, and the best choice comes from the tangency in The Best Affordable Bundle.

Key idea

With income $m_1$ now and $m_2$ later, and interest rate $r$ for both saving and borrowing: $$c_1 + \frac{c_2}{1 + r} = m_1 + \frac{m_2}{1 + r}.$$ The right side is the present value of income. The line passes through the endowment $(m_1, m_2)$ with slope $-(1 + r)$, and at an interior optimum $MRS = 1 + r$.

Why it works

Saving $s = m_1 - c_1$ (negative for borrowing) earns interest, so $c_2 = m_2 + (1 + r)s$. Substitute $s$ and divide by $1 + r$ to get the budget. Giving up one dollar of $c_1$ buys $1 + r$ dollars of $c_2$, so $1 + r$ is the price of consumption now in units of consumption later. A rise in $r$ rotates the line around the endowment, which is always affordable. For a borrower, a higher rate is bad news on both counts: substitution and income effects both cut $c_1$. For a saver, the substitution effect says "save more," but the higher return makes her richer, and the income effect says "consume more now." Saving can go either way.
The endowment (60, 40) is always on the line. This person is a saver: her best bundle is to the left of the endowment.

Worked example: A balanced choice

$U = \ln c_1 + \ln c_2$, $m_1 = 100$, $m_2 = 110$, $r = 10\%$.
  1. Present value of income: $100 + \dfrac{110}{1.1} = 200$.
  2. With $U = \ln c_1 + \ln c_2$ (Cobb-Douglas in logs), half of that goes to each period in present value: $c_1 = 100$.
  3. Saving $= 100 - 100 = 0$; $c_2 = 110$. Check: $MRS = c_2/c_1 = 1.1 = 1 + r$.

Answer: $c_1 = 100$, no saving.

Worked example: A saver and a rate rise

$U = \ln c_1 + \ln c_2$, $m_1 = 150$, $m_2 = 0$. Compare $r = 25\%$ and $r = 50\%$.
  1. Present value of income is 150 either way (no future income to discount).
  2. $c_1 = 75$ at both rates, so saving stays at 75.
  3. $c_2 = 1.25(75) = 93.75$, then $1.5(75) = 112.5$. For log utility with income only now, the income and substitution effects of a rate change cancel.

Answer: Saving stays at 75; only $c_2$ rises.

Common mistake

Thinking a higher interest rate must make every saver save more. The higher return also makes a saver richer, and that income effect raises consumption now. In the example the two effects canceled exactly; with other preferences either can win. Check: ask whether the person is a saver or a borrower first, then sort the two effects.
How much household saving responds to interest rates is an empirical question, and estimates differ. The model's sure lesson is about borrowers and lenders: a higher rate always hurts a borrower and helps a saver.

Practice

Pass with 3 right answers, the last 2 in a row. Each right answer earns 3 XP.

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Builds on

Leads to

This is one of the top rungs of Intermediate Microeconomics.

Sources and further reading

  • OpenStax Principles of Microeconomics 3e, appendix C Present Discounted Value
  • OpenStax Principles of Microeconomics 3e, ch. 17 Financial Markets
  • MIT OpenCourseWare 14.04 Intermediate Microeconomic Theory (course scope and lecture topics)
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